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Logically, investors will conclude that the industry forces that are affecting Dell may also adversely affect IBM and Hewlett-Packard The announcement may also lower the stock prices of Microsoft, which sells software that s bundled into Dell computers, and Intel, which sells microprocessors to Dell Some information may affect the stock market as a whole For example, political and labor stability, decreasing income taxes, low inflation, and small equity risk premiums (associated with stable interest rates and cost of capital) are major bonuses for the vast majority of stocks Conversely, labor and political unrest, higher inflation, increased income taxes, and a greater perceived equity risk premium (associated with higher interest rates and cost of capital) are huge downers for stocks in general Equity risk premiums increased greatly around the 9/11 terrorist attacks and again during the corporate governance scandals of Enron and WorldCom.

A simple electronic calculator doesn t have AI. But a machine that can learn from its mistakes, or that can show reasoning power, does. Between these extremes, there is no precise dividing line. As computers become more powerful, people tend to set higher standards for what they will call AI. Things that were once thought of as AI are now quite ordinary. Things that seem fantastic now will someday be humdrum. There is a tongue-in-cheek axiom: AI is AI only as long as it remains esoteric.

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Robotics and artificial intelligence go together; they complement each other. Scientists have dreamed for more than a century about building smart androids: robots that look and act like people. Androids exist, but they aren t very smart. Powerful computers exist, but they lack mobility. If a machine has the ability to move around under its own power, to lift things, and to move things, it seems reasonable that it should do so with some degree of intelligence if it is to accomplish anything worthwhile. Otherwise it is little more than a bumbling box, and might even be dangerous, like a driverless car with a brick on the gas pedal. If a computer is to manipulate anything, it will need to be able to move around, to grasp, to lift, and to carry objects. It might contemplate fantastic exploits and discover new secrets about the cosmos, but if it can t act on its thoughts, the work (and the risk) must be undertaken by people, whose strength, maneuverability, and courage are limited.

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With all this info bombarding investors and causing constant reevaluations, market prices seesaw quite a bit Does a stock s intrinsic value change as frequently as and in unison with its price The evidence is to the contrary A lot of academic research has been conducted regarding the movement of stock prices and the noise associated with that movement6 Because of overly optimistic or pessimistic views in the market, a stock s price may diverge significantly and for a long period of time from a stock s intrinsic value That happened during the inflating of the Internet/telecom/high-tech bubble Over time, however, stock value and stock price should converge on a regular basis..

The term expert systems refers to a method of reasoning in AI. Sometimes this scheme is called the rule-based system. Expert systems are used in the control of smart robots. The heart of an expert system is a set of facts and rules. In the case of a robotic system, the facts consist of data about the robot s environment, such as a factory, an office, or a kitchen. The rules are statements of the logical form If X, then Y, similar to many of the statements in high-level programming languages. An inference engine decides which logical rules should be applied in various situations and instructs the robot to carry out certain tasks. But the operation of the system can only be as sophisticated as the data supplied by human programmers. Expert systems can be used in computers to help people do research, make decisions, and make forecasts. A good example is a program that assists a physician in making a diagnosis. The computer asks questions and arrives at a conclusion based on the answers given by the patient and doctor. One of the biggest advantages of expert systems is the fact that reprogramming is easy. As the environment changes, the robot can be taught new rules, and supplied with new facts.

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